Why the
fuck would we want to
avoid
war with these assholes? And even if we
tried to avoid war, I think these guys might have a say in the matter that runs counter to our hopes.
Look, a lot of Obama supporters believe that the world is full of misunderstood people that are
only violent because America keeps stopping them from fulfilling their
dreams. In a way, this is true... primarily because their dreams involve killing
everyone who worships differently or speaks differently or looks
differently from them. I can think of no greater setback for the
propagation and practice of liberal values worldwide than to reduce the
credible military threat we perpetually pose to these freaks that keeps
their ambitions at bay.
Now, being constantly on our guard is very
expensive, financially and psychologically. As John Kerry astutely
observed back in 2004, the ideal way to defend yourself against enemies
is to not have any.
One potential way to reduce your number of
enemies is to open discussions, address people's grievances, and build
interdependence and understanding. Another, much more reliable way is
to fucking kill them already. For a comparison of the relative
effectiveness of these two approaches, I present
western Czechoslovakia for the former and
Carthage for the latter.
The
problem with the peace-love-flowerpower approach is that it only works
for people with legitimate grievances and a sincere desire for
reconciliation. It doesn't work with medieval turd-world
fucktards or totalitarian dictatorships. And while Obama supporters
seem to have no problem thinking of members of the Religious Right as
psychotically delusional fundamentalists who are beyond reason or
empathy, for some reason they have trouble extending this perception to
turban-headed suicide bombers who believe that Allah will reward them
with 72 virgins in heaven for killing Jews. You write off the entire
American Bible Belt as a bunch of lunatic Klansmen, yet when confronted
with an actual honest-to-Allah theocracy complete with stoning of
homosexuals and a different set of laws for non-Muslims, you embrace it
as an exotic foreign culture that simply needs more understanding. It'd
be silly if it wasn't so frustratingly consistent.
But, I
promised that these arguments aren't
about abstract morality but about direct impact on me personally. How
do Middle Eastern wars affect the day-to-day life of an average
American? The hard truth of the matter is that they don't. Iran could
nuke Israel tomorrow, India can invade Pakistan, Russia can blitz
through Eastern Europe, and life in the US would still continue as
normal. We'd stand back and go, "Holy shit!", but it wouldn't affect
the homeland.
Now, if we choose to enter the fight,
then
foreign wars become an enormous drain on our economy. Our taxes
increase, rationing programs ensue, and our cities get shut down by
mobs of hippie protesters.
So, when it comes to foreign wars, we
can do one of two things to protect our domestic economy. We can either
follow a policy of foreign disengagement, which means we'd let China do
whatever it wants to Taiwan, Russia do whatever it wants to Europe, let
Iran have its way with Israel, and so on. We don't care anymore, we
decide it's too expensive to care. That's the way of George Washington, Woodrow Wilson, and Ron Paul. And that's fine, that's one way to
approach the situation.
The other way, doctrinized by Teddy Roosevelt
and perfected through the Cold War, is to project such immense military
might, along with the credible threat of using it in defense of our
allies, that we never
need to use it because folks like Iran know we'll stop them
and destroy them if they try to step out of line. That's Pax Americana, and it's kept the world a more or less stable place for the last 60 years.
The
worst thing we can do, from the perspective of the domestic economy (i.e.
my perspective), is to uphold our commitments to our allies while
at the same time
backing down from a stance of overwhelming military might, opting
instead for a soft-power approach. That means that our enemies will be
less reluctant to start wars, gambling on the possibility that maybe we
won't respond — and when we
do respond, it hurts us as well as them (granted, it hurts them a
liiiittle more). The
most effective weapon is one you never have to use, and that only works
when your enemies know you have it and will use it on them. It's why
muggers never attack cops.
Now, Obama's not going to go the
full disengagement route. He is not Ron Paul. He's also not going to go
the route of overwhelming military might, because that is far too
McCain-ish and Bush-ish and has been historically shown to be far too
effective. No, Obama is going to try to go the soft-power approach,
attempting to hamstring the ambitions of hostile powers using
international committees rather than armies. Obama's response to
Russia's invasion of Georgia, for example, is the same as that of
France: sending delegations to form multiparty negotiation committees to
find mutually satisfactory resolutions and get buy-in from regional
stakeholders.
For those of you who weren't watching, Russia's
response to France was to have a very cordial, respectful discussion in
which
Russia ultimately agreed to an organized withdrawal. The French
delegation came back to Paris announcing that they had reached a
consensus and that the meeting was a success. Of course,
Russia's tanks didn't actually go anywhere. This repeated about two or three times
before Russia finally got bored and pulled back for cost-cutting reasons. Russia currently still maintains
troops in South Ossetia and has
declared it an independent nation under
Russian protection.
The UN issued a strongly worded condemnation.
Come to think of it, maybe this
is an argument for voting for Obama. Sooner or later, Russia or China or
somebody is going to respond to one of these strongly worded condemnations from the UN with a full-out public mooning on the floor of the UN. And I'd kind of like to see that happen.